A Survey on Learning System Applications in Energy System Modeling and Prediction

Authors

  • Ümit Çiğdem Turhal
  • Türker Demirci

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18201/ijisae.2016Special%20Issue-146969

Keywords:

Energy efficiency, Source installation, Estimation

Abstract

Learning Systems (LS) such as machine learning, statistical pattern recognition and neural networks are computer programs that can learn from sample data and develop a prediction model that makes prediction for new cases. The most important think related with a prediction model is to achieve results as closer as to real situation while making predictions. This is important because being closer to real results help to reduce the costs of feasibility studies in system installation. The performance of Learning Systems has been raised in latest years such as it sometimes exceeds the performance of humans. That’s why the applications of Learning Systems have been increased in many areas. This paper reviews the present applications of Learning Systems in energy system modeling and prediction especially in renewable energy systems such as wind and solar. The aim of this paper is to create a vision for researchers by gathering the present applications and outline their merits and limits and the prediction of their future performance on specific applications. 

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

W. Shlomo, and C. Kulikowski. "Computer systems that learn." (1991).

Bailey, Gerald D., ed. Computer-based integrated learning systems. Educational Technology, 1993.

F. Piatetsky-Shapiro, and R. Piatetsky-Shapiro. "Smyth, and Uthurusamy." Advances in Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (1995).

J Jiawei, Han, and Micheline Kamber. "Data mining: concepts and techniques."San Francisco, CA, itd: Morgan Kaufmann 5 (2001).

Matheus, Christopher J. Knowledge discovery in databases. Eds. William J. Frawley, and Gregory Piatetsky-Shapiro. Vol. 37. Menlo Park, CA: AAAI Press, 1991.

Kusiak, Andrew, Zijun Zhang, and Anoop Verma. "Prediction, operations, and condition monitoring in wind energy." Energy 60 (2013): 1-12.

C. W. Potter, A. Archambault, and K. Westrick, “Building a Smarter Grid through Better Renewable Energy Information”, Proceedings of IEEE/PES Power Systems Conference and Exposition, Seattle, USA, March,2009.

Kutner, Michael H., Chris Nachtsheim, and John Neter. Applied linear regression models. McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2004.

https://docs.oracle.com/cd/B28359_01/datamine.111/b28129/regress.htm#CIHHFFHB

Mellit, A., et al. "Artificial intelligence techniques for sizing photovoltaic systems: A review." Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 13.2 (2009): 406-419.

Vapnik V., “The nature of statistical learning theory,” Springer-Verlag, New-York, 1995.

Vapnik V., “Statistical learning theory,” John Wiley, New-York, 1998.

Vapnik V., “The support vector method of function estimation,” In Nonlinear Modeling: advanced black-box techniques, Suykens J.A.K., Vandewalle J. (Eds.), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston, pp.55-85, 1998.

http://www.statsoft.com/Textbook/Support-Vector-Machines

Belousov A, Verzakov SA, Von Frese J. A flexible classification approach with optimal generalisation performance; support vector machines. Chemom IntellLab Syst 2002;64:15–25.

Salcedo-Sanz S, Ortiz-Garcia EG, Perez-Bellido AM, Portilla-Figueras A,Prieto L. Short term wind speed prediction based on support vector regressionalgorithms. Expert Systems with Applications 2011;38(4):4052e7.

Mohandes MA, Halawani TO, Rehman S, Hussain AA. Support vector machines for wind speed prediction. Renewable Energy 2004;29(6):939e47.

Ortiz-Garcia EG, Salcedo-Sanz S, Perez-Bellido AM, Gascon-Moreno J, Portilla-Figueras JA, Prieto L. Short-term wind speed prediction in wind farms based on banks of support vector machines. Wind Energy 2011;14(2):193e207.

Zhou, Junyi, Jing Shi, and Gong Li. "Fine tuning support vector machines for short-term wind speed forecasting." Energy Conversion and Management 52.4 (2011): 1990-1998.

Kusiak A, Zhang Z. Short-horizon prediction of wind power: a data-drivenapproach. IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion 2010;25(4):1112e22.

Riahy GH, Abedi M. Short term wind speed forecasting for wind turbine applications using linear prediction method. Renewable Energy 2008;33(1):35e41.

Bossanyi EA. Short-term wind prediction using Kalman filters. Wind Engineering 1985;9(1):1e8.

Liu H, Shi J, Erdem E. Prediction of wind speed time series using modified Taylor Kriging method. Energy 2010;35(12):4870e9.

Song YD. A new approach for wind speed prediction. Wind Engineering 2000;24(1):35e47.

Hong Y, Chang H, Chiu C. Hour-ahead wind power and speed forecasting using simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation (SPSA) algorithm and neural network with fuzzy inputs. Energy 2010;35(9):3870e6.

Bouzgou H, Benoudjit N. Multiple architecture system for wind speed prediction.Applied Energy 2011;88(7):2463e71.

Guo Z, Zhao J, Zhang W, Wang J. A corrected hybrid approach for wind speed prediction in hexi corridor of China. Energy 2011;36(3):1668e79.

Carro-Calvo L, Salcedo-Sanz S, Kirchner-Bossi N, Portilla-Figueras A, Prieto L, Garcia-Herrera R, et al. Extraction of synoptic pressure patterns for longterm wind speed estimation in wind farms using evolutionary computing. Energy 2011;36(3):1571e81.

El-Fouly THM, El-Saadany EF, Salama MMA. One day ahead prediction of wind speed and direction. IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion 2008;23(1):191e201.

Kusiak, Andrew, Zijun Zhang, and Anoop Verma. "Prediction, operations, and condition monitoring in wind energy." Energy 60 (2013): 1-12.

Friedman JH. Stochastic gradient boosting. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 2002;38(4):367e78.

Friedman JH. Greedy function approximation: a gradient boosting machine.Annals of Statistics 2001;29(5):1189e232.

Breiman L. Random forests. Machine Learning 2001;45(1):5e32.

Breiman L, Friedman JH, Olshen RA, Stone CJ. Classification and regression trees. Monterey, CA: Wadsworth & Brooks/Cole; 1984.

Shakhnarovish G, Darrell T, Indyk P. Nearest-neighbor methods in learning and vision. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press; 2005.

Schölkopf B, Burges CJC, Smola AJ. Advances in kernel methods: support vector learning. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press; 1999.

Steinwart I, Christmann A. Support vector machines. New York: Springer-Verlag; 2008.

Siegelmann H, Sontag E. Analog computation via neural networks. Theoretical Computer Science 1994;131(2):331e60.

Liu GP. Nonlinear identification and control: a neural network approach. London, UK: Springer; 2001.

Smith M. Neural networks for statistical modeling. New York: Van Nostrand Reinhold; 1993.

Hansen LK, Salamon P. Neural network ensembles. IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence 1990;12(10):993e1001.

Kusiak A, Li W. Estimation of wind speed: a data-driven approach. Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics 2010;98(10e11):559e67.

Kusiak A, Zheng HY, Zhang Z. A wind speed virtual sensor for wind turbines. ASCE Journal of Energy Engineering 2011;137(2):60e9.

Barbounis TG, Theocharis JB. Locally recurrent neural networks for wind speed prediction using spatial correlation. Information Sciences 2007; 177(24):5775e97.

Barbounis TG, Theocharis JB. Locally recurrent neural networks for wind speed prediction using spatial correlation. Information Sciences 2007; 177(24):5775e97.

Bilgili M, Sahin B, Yasar A. Application of artificial neural networks for the wind speed prediction of target station using reference stations data. Renewable Energy 2007;32(14):2350e60.

Mohandes MA, Rehman S, Halawani TO. A neural networks approach for wind speed prediction. Renewable Energy 1998;13(3):345e54.

Kalogirou, Soteris A. "Artificial intelligence in renewable energy systems modeling and prediction." Proceedings of World Renewable Energy Congress VII. 2002.

Kusiak, Andrew, and Haiyang Zheng. "Data mining for prediction of wind farm power ramp rates." 2008 IEEE International Conference on Sustainable Energy Technologies. IEEE, 2008.

Kusiak, Andrew, Haiyang Zheng, and Zhe Song. "Models for monitoring wind farm power." Renewable Energy 34.3 (2009): 583-590.

Kusiak, Andrew, Haiyang Zheng, and Zhe Song. "Short-term prediction of wind farm power: a data mining approach." IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion 24.1 (2009): 125-136.

Kalogirou, Soteris A. "Artificial neural networks in renewable energy systems applications: a review." Renewable and sustainable energy reviews 5.4 (2001): 373-401.

Kalogirou SA, Panteliou S, Dentsoras A. Artificial neural networks used for the performance prediction of a thermosyphon solar water heater. Renewable Energy 1999;18(1):87–99.

Inman, Rich H., Hugo TC Pedro, and Carlos FM Coimbra. "Solar forecasting methods for renewable energy integration." Progress in energy and combustion science 39.6 (2013): 535-576.

Sharma, Navin, et al. "Predicting solar generation from weather forecasts using machine learning." Smart Grid Communications (SmartGridComm), 2011 IEEE International Conference on. IEEE, 2011.

Downloads

Published

26.12.2016

How to Cite

Turhal, Ümit Çiğdem, & Demirci, T. (2016). A Survey on Learning System Applications in Energy System Modeling and Prediction. International Journal of Intelligent Systems and Applications in Engineering, 175–179. https://doi.org/10.18201/ijisae.2016Special Issue-146969

Issue

Section

Research Article

Similar Articles

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.