Wind Speed Prediction for Duhok City Applied Recurrent Neural Network

Authors

  • Zozan Saadallah Hussain Department of Electrical Techniques, Northern Technical University, Mosul, Iraq
  • Najat Yohana Danha Department of Information System Engineering, Erbil Technical Engineering, Erbil Polytechnic University, Erbil, Iraq
  • Karwan Muhammed Muheden Department of Information System Engineering, Erbil Technical Engineering, Erbil Polytechnic University, Erbil, Iraq
  • Shahab Wahhab Kareem Department of Information Technology, College of Engineering and Computer Science, Lebanese French University, Erbil, Iraq

Keywords:

Artificial neural networks (ANN), artificial recurrent neural networks (RNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Regional Meteorological Centre (RMC)

Abstract

The wind has exploded in popularity in recent years, and it is expected to continue to do so in the future. To efficiently schedule and utilize that source of energy, better forecasting methodologies are required. In the recent decade, numerous studies on forecasting wind speed generation on timescales of minutes, days, months, and years have been conducted. According to a comprehensive set of forecasting methodologies, physical approaches, statistical or hybrid methods, such as neural networks, are the most widely used tactics for predicting wind speed day-ahead. The goal of this paper is to keep prediction error to a minimum. Plotting and predicting the speed of wind in Dohuk city, KRG/Iraq, using a recurrent neural network model. The LSTM architecture is the type of artificial recurrent neural network used in deep learning. Based on the dataset, the approach plots the predicted wind speed and forecasts the future dispersion. Data centers were suggested for Dhouk as a way to utilize the electricity generated by wind turbines and integrate it with other sources of renewable energy and the electrical grid. The city accepted the proposal. With future implementations, it is possible to accurately quantify how much energy is being created as well as how much money is spent on operations and maintenance.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Diler Haji Morad, " The Potential and Social Acceptability of Renewable Energy sources in North Iraq: Kurdistan Region", Academic Journal of Nawroz University (AJNU), Vol. 7, No. 4, pp. 93-103, 2018, doi: 10.25007/ajnu.v7n4a276.

Al-hafidh M, Ibrahem M., "Zero Energy House in Iraq," International Journal of Inventive Engineering and Sciences, Vol. 2, No. 7, 2014.

Kharrich M, Mohammed O, Kamel S, Selim A, Sultan H, Akherraz M, Jurado F., "Development and implementation of a novel optimization algorithm for reliable and economic gridindependent hybrid power system, " Applied Sciences (Switzerland), 10(18), 2020.

Salar Salah Muhy Al-Din1, Duško Kuzović, and Maryam Iranfar, "Renewable Energy Strategies to Overcome Power Shortage in Kurdistan Region of Iraq," International Journal of Trend in Research and Development (IJTRD), Vol. 45, No. 2, pp. 7-21, July 2017, DOI: 10.5937/industrija45-12770.

M. T. Chaichan, H. A. Kazem, K. I. Abass, A. A. Al- Waeli, "Homemade Solar Desalination System for Omani families," International Journal of Scientific & Engineering Research, vol. 7, No. 5, pp.1499-1504, 2016.

M. T. Chaichan, "Enhancing productivity of concentrating solar distillating system accompanied with PCM at hot climate,"Wulevina, vol. 23, No. 5, pp. 1-18, 2016.

Enaam Albanna, Hassaan Th. H. Thabet, and Zozan Saadallah Hussain, " Design and Implementation of an Automated Residential Water Heating System using Sustainable Energy and PLC Techniques," Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, 15 (5,) pp. 1244-1250, 2020.

Shatha Y. Ismail, Zozan Saadallah Hussain, Hassaan TH. H. Thabet and Thabit H. Thabit, "Using PI Controller Unit for Controlling the Water Temperature in Oil Fired Heaters by PLC Techniques," PRZEGLĄD ELEKTROTECHNICZNY, pp. 157-161, R. 97 NR 3/2021, doi:10.15199/48.2021.03.30.

Zozan Saadallah Hussain, Zena Ez. Dallalbashi and Shaymaa Alhayali, "Reviews of using solar energy to cover the energy deficit after the recent war in Mosul city," Information Systems 2021 (DATA’21), Ma’an, Jordan. ACM, New York, NY, USA, 12 pages, April 5–7 2021, https://doi.org/10.1145/3460620.3460757.

Mustafa Hussein Ibrahim and Muhammed A Ibrahim "Solar-Wind Hybrid Power System Analysis Using Homer for Duhok, Iraq", PRZEGLĄD ELEKTROTECHNICZNY, Vol. 97, No. 9/2021, pp. 139-143, doi:10.15199/48.2021.09.28.

G. Herberta, S. Iniyan, E. Sreevalsan, S. Rajapandian, "A review of wind energy technologies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, vol. 11, pp. 1117–1145, 2007.

Roojwan Scddeek.Esmael, ShahabWahab Kareem, and Ismael Khorshed Abdulrahman, "Wind Energy Proposed In Kurdistan-Iraq," Journal of Engineering Research and Applications, Vol. 3, Issue 6, pp.1531-1537, Nov-Dec 2013.

Firas Hadi A., Samah Shyaa Oudah, Al-Baldawi Rafa A. 2019. ” Pre-feasibility Study of Hypothetical Wind Energy Project Using imulated and Measured Data”, IEEE Xplore: 30 May DOI: 10.1109 /ICETS.

Dyrbye, C., Hansen. S.O. (1997), "Wind Loads on Structures," John Wiley & Sons, Ltd, Baffins Lane, Chichester, England.

W. Kareem, R. Z. Yousif, and S. M. J. Abdalwahid. (2020). An approach for enhancing data confidentiality in Hadoop. W. Kareem, R. Z. Yousif, and S. M. J. Abdalwahid, "An approach for enhancing data conIndonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science , 1547-1555.

Aida M J Mahdy, Ali A K Al-Waeli, and Khadim A Al-Asadi, "Investigation and Analysis of Wind Turbines Optimal Locations and Performance in Iraq," FME Transactions, Vol. 48, No 1, pp. 155-163, January 2020, doi:10.5937/fmet2001155B.

Aida M J Mahdy, Ali A K Al-Waeli, and Khadim A Al-Asadi, " Can Iraq use the wind energy for power generation,"International Journal of Computation and Applied Sciences IJOCAAS, Vol. 3, Issue 2, pp. 233-238, October 2017.

J. F. Manwell, J. G. McGowan, A. L. Rogers, "Wind energy explained: theory, design and application," 2nd Edition, December 2009, ISBN: 978-0-470-01500-1.

Firas A. Hadi, Samah Shyaa Oudah, and Rafa A. Al-Baldawi, "An Economic Study of a Wind Energy Project Using Different Sources of Wind Data," Iraqi Journal of Science, Vol. 61, No. 2, pp. 322-332, 2020, DOI: 10.24996/ijs.2020.61.2.10.

Aedah M J Mahdi, Slafa I. Ibrahim, Amerah A. Radhi, and Khaleel I Abass, "Wind Resource Assessment for three Cities in Iraq," International Journal of Trend in Research and Development (IJTRD), Vol. 6, No. 4, pp. 108-110, July – Aug 2019.

SHIREEN T. SAADULLAH and JAMES H. HAIDO, "Wind Analysis of Tall Bulding In Duhok City Using Computational Fluid Dynamic (CFD)," Journal of University of Duhok, Vol. 20, No. 1, pp. 520-536, 2017, https://doi.org/10.26682/sjuod.2017.20.1.46.

Dagnew, A.K., Bitsuamalk, G.T., Merrick, R., "Computational Evaluation of Wind Pressures on Tall Buildings," 11th America’s conference on wind engineering, 2009.

Kareem, S.W. , M. C. Okur. (2021). Falcon Optimization Algorithm For Bayesian Network Structure Learning. Computer Science Journal, Vol 22, No.4., 553-569.

S. Kareem and M. C. Okur. (2018). Bayesian Network Structure Learning Using Hybrid Bee Optimization and Greedy Search . Çukurova University, 2018. Adana: Çukurova University.

Berivan H Mahdi, Kamil M Yousif and Amera I Melhum, " Application of Artificial Neural Network to Predict Wind Speed: Case Study in Duhok City, Iraq", Journal of Physics: Conference Series, Vol. 1829, No. 2021, pp. 1-7, March 2021, doi:10.1088/1742-6596/1829/1/012002.

Erich Hau, “Wind Turbines, Fundamentals, Technologies, Application, Economics,” 2nd edition, Springer, 2005.

D. Gmach et al, "Capacity Planning and Power Management to Exploit Sustainable Energy", International Conference on Network and Service Management (CNSM), 2010, pp. 96-103.

Raghad Z. Yousif1, Shahab W. Kareem, Shadan M. Abdalwahid. (2020). Enhancing Approach for Information Security in Hadoop. Polytechnic Journal. 2020., 10(1),

Zixiang Ding, Rui Xia, Jianfei Yu, Xiang Li and Jian Yang, “Densely Connected Bidirectional LSTM with Applications to Sentence Classification,” Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2018.

Goodfellow, I., Bengio, Y. and Courville,, “Deep Learning,” MIT Press, no. Cambridge, 2016.

LeCun, Y., Bengio, Y. and Hinton, G., “Deep learning,” Nature 521, no. 436, 2015.

Padarian, J., Minasny, B. and McBratney, A. B., “Using deep learning for digital soil mapping,” SOIL, vol. 1, no. 79-89, p. 5, 2019.

S. W. Kareem and M. C. Okur. (2019). Pigeon inspired optimization of bayesian network structure learning and a comparative evaluation. Journal of Cognitive Science, vol. 20, 535-552.

S. H. Ismael, S. W. Kareem, and F. H. Almukhtar. (2020). Medical Image Classification Using Different Machine Learning Algorithms. AL-Rafidain Journal of Computer Sciences and Mathematics, vol. 14, 135-147.

D. Graupe, PRINCIPLES OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK, Third Edition, British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data: World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., 2013.

G. K. Rahul, S. Singh and S. Dubey, “Weather Forecasting Using Artificial Neural Networks,” in 8th International Conference on Reliability, Infocom Technologies and Optimization (Trends and Future Directions) (ICRITO), Noida, India, , 2020, pp. 21-26.

C. -H. Liu, J. -C. Gu and M. -T. Yang, “A Simplified LSTM Neural Networks for One Day-Ahead Solar Power Forecasting,” IEEE Access,, vol. 1, no. 17174-17195, p. 9, 2021.

Hossain, Iqbal, Rasel, H. M., Imteaz, Monzur Alam and Mekanik, F., “Long-term seasonal rainfall forecasting using linear and non-linear,” Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, vol. 1, no. 131-141, p. 132, 2020.

Amin Salih Mohammed, Shahab Wahhab Kareem, Ahmed khazal al azzawi and M. Sivaram, “Time Series Prediction Using SRE- NAR and SRE- ADALINE,” Jour of Adv Research in Dynamical & Control Systems, 12 10 2018.

Y. -K. Wu, Y. -C. Wu, J. -S. Hong, L. H. Phan and Q. D. Phan, “Probabilistic Forecast of Wind Power Generation With Data Processing and Numerical Weather Predictions,” IEEE Transactions on Industry Applications, vol. 1, no. 36-45, p. 57, Jan.-Feb. 2021

H. Mezaache and H. Bouzgou, “Auto-Encoder with Neural Networks for Wind Speed Forecasting,” in International Conference on Communications and Electrical Engineering (ICCEE), El Oued, Algeria, 2018, pp. 1-5, 2018.

S. Huang, K. Mu, P. Lu, C. Tsao, Y. Leu, and L. Chou, “The application of neural network in wind speed forecasting,” in IEEE 12th International Conference on Networking, Sensing and Control, Taipei, Taiwan, 2015, pp. 366-370, 2015.

S. Makhloufi and G. G. Pillai, “Wind speed and wind power forecasting using wavelet denoising-GMDH neural network,” in 5th International Conference on Electrical Engineering - Boumerdes (ICEE-B), Boumerdes, 2017, pp. 1-5, 2017.

Sardar, M. R., Al-Jumur, K., & Kareem, S. W. Raghad z. Yousif,2021„ Predicting temperature of Erbil city applying deep learning and neural network, “. Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, 944-952.

LSTM module with four interacting layers

Downloads

Published

31.12.2022

How to Cite

Hussain, Z. S., Danha, N. Y. ., Muheden, K. M. ., & Kareem, S. W. . (2022). Wind Speed Prediction for Duhok City Applied Recurrent Neural Network. International Journal of Intelligent Systems and Applications in Engineering, 10(3s), 180–188. Retrieved from https://ijisae.org/index.php/IJISAE/article/view/2429

Issue

Section

Research Article