Performance Analysis for Crime Prediction and Detection Using Machine Learning Algorithms

Authors

  • R. Ganesan Research Scholar, Department of Information Technology, Faculty of Engineering and Technology, Annamalai Univeristy, Tamilnadu, India.
  • Suban Ravichandran Associate Professor, Department of Information Technology, Faculty of Engineering and Technology, Annamalai Univeristy, Tamilnadu, India

Keywords:

Crime prediction, Machine Learning, Decision Tree, Linear Regression, detection

Abstract

Crime prediction system is essential to identifying and analyzing patterns and trends in crime. In recent era, the main aim of government is to reduce the crime events in all countries. Nowadays a greater number of crimes are perpetrated which affects the typical human’s life. Hence, crime prediction is a vital task. Various factors such as criminal behavior, age, place etc. are used to predict the crime pattern. The preeminent objective of this work is to identify the crime groups by using different years of dataset. Machine learning techniques are used to analysis and discover the crime patterns. In this work, a comparative analysis of various techniques like the Decision Tree, Gaussian Naïve Bayes, Linear Support Vector Classifier, Logistic Regression, and Stochastic Gradient Descent are used to suggest the crime pattern mainly based on time and place. Also, various existing feature selection techniques like Linear Regression, Ridge Regression and Polynomial Regression are used to select the salient features from the dataset. The performance of each technique is validated with various performance metrics such as accuracy, precision, recall and f1 score. The Experimental results show that the Linear Regression with Stochastic Gradient Descent model performing better than other techniques.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Kiani, Rasoul, Siamak Mahdavi, and Amin Keshavarzi. "Analysis and prediction of crimes by clustering and classification." International Journal of Advanced Research in Artificial Intelligence 4, no. 8 (2015): 11-17.

Akansha A Chikhale, Ankita K Dhavale, Aparna P Thakre, Diksha B Herode, Nikita D Nasre, Pracheta D Patrikar, Prof. Milind Tote. “A Review on Crime Rate Analysis Using Data Mining” International Journal of Scientific Research in Science, Engineering and Technolgoy 5, no. 5 (2019): 119 – 125.

J. Zhou, Z. Li, J. J. Ma and F. Jiang, "Exploration of the Hidden Influential Factors on Crime Activities: A Big Data Approach," in IEEE Access, vol. 8, pp. 141033-141045, 2020, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3009969.

Das, Priyanka, Asit Kumar Das, Janmenjoy Nayak, Danilo Pelusi, and Weiping Ding. "A graph based clustering approach for relation extraction from crime data." IEEE Access 7 (2019): 101269-101282.

Li Ding, Dana Steil, Matthew Hudnall, Brandon Dixon, Randy Smith, David Brown, Allen Parrish, "PerpSearch: An integrated crime detection system," 2009 IEEE International Conference on Intelligence and Security Informatics, 2009, pp. 161-163, doi: 10.1109/ISI.2009.5137289.

Tushar Sonawanev, Shirin Shaikh, Shaista Shaikh, Rahul Shinde, Asif Sayyad “Crime Pattern Analysis, Visualization And Prediction Using Data Mining”, International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas in Education, Vol 1, no.5 (2015): 681 – 686

Birks, Daniel, Alex Coleman, David Jackson. "Unsupervised identification of crime problems from police free-text data." Crime Science 9, no. 1 (2020): 1-19.

Felson, Marcus, Shanhe Jiang, and Yanqing Xu. "Routine activity effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on burglary in Detroit, March, 2020." Crime Science 9, no. 1 (2020): 1-7.

Wang, Zengli, and Hong Zhang. 2020. "Construction, Detection, and Interpretation of Crime Patterns over Space and Time" ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information 9, no. 6: 339. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi9060339

Aarthi, S., M. Samyuktha, and M. Sahana. "Crime hotspot detection with clustering algorithm using data mining." In 2019 3rd International Conference on Trends in Electronics and Informatics (ICOEI), pp. 401-405. IEEE, 2019.

Chen, Peng, and Justin Kurland. "Time, place, and modus operandi: a simple apriori algorithm experiment for crime pattern detection." In 2018 9th International Conference on Information, Intelligence, Systems and Applications (IISA), pp. 1-3. IEEE, 2018.

M. Sharma, "Z - CRIME: A data mining tool for the detection of suspicious criminal activities based on decision tree," 2014 International Conference on Data Mining and Intelligent Computing (ICDMIC), 2014, pp. 1-6, doi: 10.1109/ICDMIC.2014.6954268.

Taha, Kamal, and Paul D. Yoo. "SIIMCO: A forensic investigation tool for identifying the influential members of a criminal organization." IEEE Transactions on Information Forensics and Security 11, no. 4 (2015): 811-822.

David, H., and A. Suruliandi. "Survey on Crime Analysis and Prediction using Data Mining Techniques." ICTACT journal on soft computing 7, no. 3 (2017).

Alkesh Bharati, Dr Sarvanaguru RA.K, “Crime Prediction and Analysis Using Machine Learning”. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology, 5, no. 9: 1037 – 1042 (2018).

Emmanuel Ahishakiye, Elisha Opiyo Omulo, Danison Taremwa, and Ivan Niyonzima. "Crime Prediction Using Decision Tree (J48) Classification Algorithm." International Journal of Computer and Information Technology, 6 no. 3: 188 - 195 (2017).

G. Anderson (2008) “Random relational rules”, PhD thesis (The University of Waikato).

Sri, Linga Akhila, Kalluri Manvitha, Gorantla Amulya, Ikkurthi Sai Sanjuna, and V. Pavani. "FBI Crime Analysis and Prediction using Machine Learning." Journal of Engineering Sciences, 11, no. 4: 441 – 448, (2020).

Ivan Kholod, Andrey Shorov, and Sergei Gorlatch, “Improving Parallel Data Mining for Different Data Distributions in IoT Systems”, In International Symposium on Intelligent and Distributed Computing, Springer, Cham 2019, pp. 75-85, 2019, doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-32258-8_9

Kianmehr, Keivan, and Reda Alhajj. "Effectiveness of support vector machine for crime hot-spots prediction." Applied Artificial Intelligence 22, no. 5 (2008): 433-458.Angelina Tzacheva, Jaishree Ranganathan, and Sai Yesawy Mylavarapu, “Actionable Pattern Discovery for Tweet Emotions”, In International Conference on Applied Human Factors and Ergonomics, Springer, Cham, 2019, pp. 46-57, 2019, doi: 10.1007/978-3-030-20454-9_5.

Antolos, Daniel, Dahai Liu, Andrei Ludu, and Dennis Vincenzi. "Burglary crime analysis using logistic regression." In International Conference on Human Interface and the Management of Information, pp. 549-558. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg, 2013.

Kumar, Vinod. "Evaluation of computationally intelligent techniques for breast cancer diagnosis." Neural Computing and Applications 33, no. 8 (2021): 3195-3208.

Reier Forradellas, Ricardo Francisco, Sergio Luis Náñez Alonso, Javier Jorge-Vazquez, and Marcela Laura Rodriguez. "Applied Machine Learning in Social Sciences: Neural Networks and Crime Prediction." Social Sciences 10, no. 1 (2020): 4.

Galuzzi, Bruno G., Ilaria Giordani, Antonio Candelieri, Riccardo Perego, and Francesco Archetti. "Hyperparameter optimization for recommender systems through Bayesian optimization." Computational Management Science 17, no. 4 (2020): 495-515.

Awal, Md Abdul, Jakaria Rabbi, Sk Imran Hossain, and M. M. A. Hashem. "Using linear regression to forecast future trends in crime of Bangladesh." In 2016 5th International Conference on Informatics, Electronics and Vision (ICIEV), pp. 333-338. IEEE, 2016.

Hasan, Md Abid, Md Kamrul Hasan, and M. Abdul Mottalib. "Linear regression–based feature selection for microarray data classification." International journal of data mining and bioinformatics 11, no. 2 (2015): 167-179.

Shariff, Nurul S. Mohamad, and H. M. B. Duzan. "An application of proposed Ridge Regression Methods to real data problem." International Journal of engineering and technology 7 (2018): 106-108.

Liu, Yih‐Wu, and Richard H. Bee. "Ridge regression: A multivariate analysis of criminal activity." Sociological Spectrum 3, no. 2 (1983): 143-157.

Biswas, Al Amin, and Sarnali Basak. "Forecasting the trends and patterns of crime in Bangladesh using machine learning model." In 2019 2nd international conference on intelligent communication and computational techniques (ICCT), pp. 114-118. IEEE, 2019.

Downloads

Published

02.02.2024

How to Cite

Ganesan, R. ., & Ravichandran, S. . (2024). Performance Analysis for Crime Prediction and Detection Using Machine Learning Algorithms. International Journal of Intelligent Systems and Applications in Engineering, 12(14s), 348–355. Retrieved from https://ijisae.org/index.php/IJISAE/article/view/4671

Issue

Section

Research Article