GNBLGRN: Enhancing Stock Value Prediction Accuracy Through Iterative Graph Networks and a Hybrid BiLSTM and BiGRU Recurrent Neural Network Approach

Authors

  • Sonal Jathe, Dinesh N. Chaudhari

Keywords:

Stock Value Prediction, Graph Networks, BiLSTM, BiGRU, Technical Indicators

Abstract

Stock price prediction remains an important problem in stock exchanges hence, when the market experiences volatility in its shares. Mainly due to these shortcomings of present methods, the latter often gives inadequate account of the intricate and dynamic nature of stock market data samples. This paper provides a framework for short-term and long-term stock value forecast based on graph-based BiLSTM & BiGRU recurrent neural network (GBRNN). Before a set of technical indicators is ranked based on how accurately they predict stock prices in the future, our method derives twenty distinct signals for particular stocks. Thus, we input these rated indicators into the GBRNN model that employs iterative graph networks, BiLSTM, and BiGRU to estimate how much a certain stock can be worth in the future. They are used to enhance the model’s prediction capability since the model has the ability to capture short term and long term dependency patterns in stock data. We see that improving prediction specifics increases specifications of the model by 3.9 % while shortening latency by 8.3 %, and significantly raises precision of a prediction by 2.5 %; accuracy of a prediction – by 4.9%, recall – by 3.5% as well as AUC – by 1.9%. These results show how effectively our model entails complex relationships of stock markets that let us build more accurate tools for stock prediction. This work provides good foundation for further research on this field, and clearly has been a valuable contribution to the attempt to overcome the challenges derived from the uncertainty of financial markets.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

B. A. Januário, A. E. d. O. Carosia, A. E. A. d. Silva and G. P. Coelho, "Sentiment Analysis Applied to News from the Brazilian Stock Market," in IEEE Latin America Transactions, vol. 20, no. 3, pp. 512-518, March 2022, doi: 10.1109/TLA.2022.9667151.

Y. Ansari et al., "A Deep Reinforcement Learning-Based Decision Support System for Automated Stock Market Trading," in IEEE Access, vol. 10, pp. 127469-127501, 2022, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2022.3226629.

A. Carosia, "Using Machine Learning to Prevent Losses in the Brazilian Stock Market During the Covid-19 Pandemic," in IEEE Latin America Transactions, vol. 21, no. 8, pp. 867-873, Aug. 2023, doi: 10.1109/TLA.2023.10246342.

R. Chiong, Z. Fan, Z. Hu and S. Dhakal, "A Novel Ensemble Learning Approach for Stock Market Prediction Based on Sentiment Analysis and the Sliding Window Method," in IEEE Transactions on Computational Social Systems, vol. 10, no. 5, pp. 2613-2623, Oct. 2023, doi: 10.1109/TCSS.2022.3182375.

H. Xu, Y. Zhang and Y. Xu, "Promoting Financial Market Development-Financial Stock Classification Using Graph Convolutional Neural Networks," in IEEE Access, vol. 11, pp. 49289-49299, 2023, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2023.3275085.

K. Huang, X. Li, F. Liu, X. Yang and W. Yu, "ML-GAT:A Multilevel Graph Attention Model for Stock Prediction," in IEEE Access, vol. 10, pp. 86408-86422, 2022, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2022.3199008.

H. Wang, T. Wang, S. Li and S. Guan, "HATR-I: Hierarchical Adaptive Temporal Relational Interaction for Stock Trend Prediction," in IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering, vol. 35, no. 7, pp. 6988-7002, 1 July 2023, doi: 10.1109/TKDE.2022.3188320.

X. Zhao, Y. Liu and Q. Zhao, "Cost Harmonization LightGBM-Based Stock Market Prediction," in IEEE Access, vol. 11, pp. 105009-105026, 2023, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2023.3318478.

J. Choi, S. Yoo, X. Zhou and Y. Kim, "Hybrid Information Mixing Module for Stock Movement Prediction," in IEEE Access, vol. 11, pp. 28781-28790, 2023, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2023.3258695.

C. Zhang, N. N. A. Sjarif and R. B. Ibrahim, "Decision Fusion for Stock Market Prediction: A Systematic Review," in IEEE Access, vol. 10, pp. 81364-81379, 2022, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2022.3195942.

Atul Kathole , Dinesh Chaudhari “Secure Hybrid Approach for Sharing Data Securely in VANET”, Proceeding of International Conference on Computational Science and Applications pp 217–221, © 2022 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

Y. Zhao et al., "Stock Movement Prediction Based on Bi-Typed Hybrid-Relational Market Knowledge Graph via Dual Attention Networks," in IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering, vol. 35, no. 8, pp. 8559-8571, 1 Aug. 2023, doi: 10.1109/TKDE.2022.3220520.

T. Sun, D. Huang and J. Yu, "Market Making Strategy Optimization via Deep Reinforcement Learning," in IEEE Access, vol. 10, pp. 9085-9093, 2022, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2022.3143653.

K. Cui, R. Hao, Y. Huang, J. Li and Y. Song, "A Novel Convolutional Neural Networks for Stock Trading Based on DDQN Algorithm," in IEEE Access, vol. 11, pp. 32308-32318, 2023, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2023.3259424.

M. Alexandre, K. L. De Moraes, F. A. Rodrigues and E. Estrada, "Risk-dependent centrality in the Brazilian stock market," in Journal of Complex Networks, vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 1-16, Jan. 2022, doi: 10.1093/comnet/cnab054.

Atul B Kathole, Dr.Dinesh N.Chaudhari, "Pros & Cons of Machine learning and Security Methods, "2019.http://gujaratresearchsociety.in/index.php/ JGRS, ISSN: 0374-8588, Volume 21 Issue 4

Gabrani, G., Sabharwal, S., & Singh, V. K. (2017). Artificial intelligence based recommender systems: A survey. In Advances in Computing and Data Sciences: First International Conference, ICACDS 2016, Ghaziabad, India, November 11-12, 2016, Revised Selected Papers 1 (pp. 50-59). Springer Singapore.

A. T. Haryono, R. Sarno and K. R. Sungkono, "Transformer-Gated Recurrent Unit Method for Predicting Stock Price Based on News Sentiments and Technical Indicators," in IEEE Access, vol. 11, pp. 77132-77146, 2023, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2023.3298445.

P. Khuwaja, S. A. Khowaja and K. Dev, "Adversarial Learning Networks for FinTech Applications Using Heterogeneous Data Sources," in IEEE Internet of Things Journal, vol. 10, no. 3, pp. 2194-2201, 1 Feb.1, 2023, doi: 10.1109/JIOT.2021.3100742.

Singh, Viomesh Kumar, Sangeeta Sabharwal, and Goldie Gabrani. "A new fuzzy clustering-based recommendation method using grasshopper optimization algorithm and Map-Reduce." International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management 13.5 (2022): 2698-2709.

Z. D. Akşehir and E. Kiliç, "How to Handle Data Imbalance and Feature Selection Problems in CNN-Based Stock Price Forecasting," in IEEE Access, vol. 10, pp. 31297-31305, 2022, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2022.3160797.

E. Koo and G. Kim, "A Hybrid S. Wang, "A Stock Price Prediction Method Based on BiLSTM and Improved Transformer," in IEEE Access, vol. 11, pp. 104211-104223, 2023, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2023.3296308.

Prediction Model Integrating GARCH Models With a Distribution Manipulation Strategy Based on LSTM Networks for Stock Market Volatility," in IEEE Access, vol. 10, pp. 34743-34754, 2022, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2022.3163723.

X. Zhan, Y. Mu, R. Nishant and V. R. Singhal, "When Do Appointments of Chief Digital or Data Officers (CDOs) Affect Stock Prices?," in IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, vol. 69, no. 4, pp. 1308-1321, Aug. 2022, doi: 10.1109/TEM.2020.2984619.

T. -W. Lee, P. Teisseyre and J. Lee, "Effective Exploitation of Macroeconomic Indicators for Stock Direction Classification Using the Multimodal Fusion Transformer," in IEEE Access, vol. 11, pp. 10275-10287, 2023, doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2023.3240422.

Downloads

Published

06.08.2024

How to Cite

Sonal Jathe. (2024). GNBLGRN: Enhancing Stock Value Prediction Accuracy Through Iterative Graph Networks and a Hybrid BiLSTM and BiGRU Recurrent Neural Network Approach. International Journal of Intelligent Systems and Applications in Engineering, 12(23s), 1057 –. Retrieved from https://ijisae.org/index.php/IJISAE/article/view/7116

Issue

Section

Research Article