Predictive Analytics Models for Commodity Market: A Literature Review
Keywords:
Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Predictive Analytics, ForecastingAbstract
This research presents a literature review on the application of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) techniques in predictive analytics, with a main emphasis on the commodity market. Predictive analytics influences statistical models and Machine Learning approaches to analyze periodic data and predict future outcomes, providing substantial value across various domains such as finance, healthcare, retail, marketing, and commodities. The motive of this review is two-fold: (1) to survey AI-ML based approaches, techniques, and tools employed in predictive analytics, and (2) to inspect predictive analytics models precisely designed for the commodity market. The review integrates current methodologies, strategies, algorithms, and tools, while also surveying the types of commodities analyzed and their interdependencies. The major influence of this research lies in recognizing major gaps in existing studies, predominantly in model generalization, integration of heterogeneous data sources, and evaluation of real-world applicability. These gaps emphasize possibilities for future research and provide direction for developing more robust, accurate, and scalable predictive analytics frameworks.
Downloads
References
Chevallier, J., Zhu, B., & Zhang, L. (2019). Forecasting Infection Points: Hybrid Methods with Multiscale Machine Learning Algorithms. Computational Economics, 39.
Akulwar, P. (2020). A Recommended System for Crop Disease detection and yield prediction using machine learning approach. Recommender System with Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence: Practical Tools and Applications in Medical, Agricultural and Other Industries, 23.
Alameer, Z., Elaziz, M. A., Ewees, A. A., Ye, H., & Jianhua, Z. (2019). Natural Resources Research.
Alameer, Z., Elaziz, M. A., Ewees, A. A., Ye, H., & Jianhua, Z. (2019). Forecasting gold price fluctualtions using improved multilayer perceptron neural network and whale optimization algorithm. Resources policy, 11.
Ali, A., Ahmed, M. K., Aliyuda, K., & Bello, A. M. (2022). Deep Neural Network Model for Improving price prediction of natural gas. 2021 Internation conference on Data Analytics for Business and Industry (p. 5). IEEE Explore.
Amin, M. N. (2020). Predicting Price of Daily Commodities using Machine Learning. 2020 International Conference on Innivation and Intelligence for Informatics, Computing and Technlogies (p. 6). Saint Etienne: IEEE explore.
Arai, K. (2021). Combined Non-Parametric and Parametric Classification Method Depending on Normality of PDF of Training Samples. Int. J. Adv. Comput. Sci. Appl, 310-316.
Ayyappa, P., Reddy, P., Vajha, A., & Venkat, S. (2021). Cotten price Prediction: An Artifical Intelligence based solution. Proceeding of the 5th International conference on I-SMAC (p. 5). IEEE Explore.
Aziz, Aziz, N., Abdullah, M. A., & Zaidi, A. N. (2020). Predictive Analytics for Crude oil Price using RNN-LSTM neural network. 2020 International conference on computational Intelligence (p. 5). IEEE Explore.
Bloznelis, D. (2017). Short‐term salmon price forecasting. Journal Of Forecasting, 19.
Cortez, C. T., Saydam, S., Coulton, J., & Sammut, C. (2018). Alternative techniques for forecating mineral commodity prices. International Journal of Mining Science and technology, 14.
Das , S. P., & Padhy, S. (2016). Unsupervised extreme learning machine and support vector regression hybrid model for predicting energy commodity futures index. Memetic Comp., 14.
Drachal, K. (2019). Forecating prices of selected metals with bayesian data rich models. Resouces policy, 15.
Drachal, K. (2021). Forecasting selected energy commodities prces with bayesian dynamic finite mixtures. Energy ecomonics, 14.
Feng, C., Ji, G., Zhao, W., & Nian, R. (2005). The Prediction of the Financial Time Series Based on Correlation Dimension. International Conference on Natural Computation (p. 10). Springer.
Ferrari, D., Ravazzolo, F., & Vespignani, J. (2021). Foreccasting Energy commodity prices: A large global dataset sparse approach. Energy economics, 12.
Ghosh, I., Sanyal, M. K., & Jana, R. K. (2020). An Ensemble of emsemble Framework for predictive analytics of commodity market. 2020 4th International Conference on Computaional Intelligence and Network (p. 6). IEEE Explore.
Ghule, R., Gadhave, A., Dubey, M., & Kharade, J. (2022). Gold Price Prediction using Machine Learning. International Journal of Environmental Engineering.
Gupta, r., Pierdzioch, C., & Salisu, A. A. (2022). Oil price uncertanity and U.K. unemployment rate: A forecating experiment with random forest using 150 years of data. Resources Policy, 7.
Gurzhiy, A., Paardenkooper, K., & Borremans, A. (2022). Predictive Analytics at an Oil and Gas Company: The Rosneft Case. Algorithms and Solutions Based on Computer Technology, 13.
Haarnoja, T., Zhou, A., Abbeel, P., & Levine, S. (2018). Soft Actor-Critic: Off-Policy Maximum Entropy Deep Reinforcement Learning with a Stochastic Actor. Proceedings of the 35th International Conference on Machine Learning, (pp. PMLR 80, 1861-1870.).
He, K., Tso, G. K., Zou, Y., & Liu, J. (2018). Crude Oil Risk Forecasting: New Evidence from Multiscale Analysis Approach. Energy Economics, 36.
He, K., Yu, L., & Lai, K. K. (2012). Crude oil price analysis and forecasting using wavelet decomposed ensemble model. Energy, 11.
Hu, J., Wang, J., & Ma, K. (2015). A Hybrid Technique for Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction. Energy, 563-574.
Hu, Y., Liu, K., Zhang, X., Su, L., Ngai, E., & Liu, M. (2015). Application of evolutionary computation for rule discovery in stock algorithmic trading: A literature review. Applied Soft Computing, 534-551.
Huang, Y., Dai, X., Wang, Q., & Zhou, D. (2021). A hybrid model for carbon price forecasting using GARCH and long short term memory network. Applied Energy, 18.
Huynh, V. N., Kreinovich, V., & Sriboonchitta, S. (2014). Modeling Dependence in Econometrics. Springer.
Jiao, X., Song, Y., Kong, Y., & Tang, X. (2021). Volatility forecasting for crude oil based on text. Journal of Forecasting, 12.
Jumoorty, A. F., Thoplan, R., & Narsoo, J. (2022). High frequency volatility forecasting: A new approach using a hybrid ANN-MC-GARCH Model. IJFE, 20.
Lasheras, F. S., Nieto, P. J., Gonzalo, E. G., Valverde, G. F., & Krzemie´n, A. (2022). Time Series Forecasting of Gold Prices with the Help of Its Decomposition and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines. 16th International Conference on Soft Computing Models in Industrial and Environmental Applications (SOCO 2021) (p. 10). Springer.
Li, J., Zhu, S., & Wu, Q. (2019). Monthly crude oil spot price forecating using variational mode decomposition. Energy economics, 14.
Li, Y., Wang, S., Wei, Y., & Zhu, Q. (2021). A New Hybrid VMD-ICSS-BiGRU Approach for Gold Futures Pricec Forecasting and Algoritm Trading. IEEE Transactions on Computational Social Systems (p. 12). IEEE Explore.
Lu, Q., Sun, S., Duan, H., & Wang, S. (2021). Analysis and forecasting of crude oil price based on the variable selection-LSTM integrated model. Energy Informatics, 20.
Ramyar, S., & Kianfar, F. (2017). Forecasting Crude Oil Prices: A Comparison Between Artificial Neural Networks and Vector Autoregressive models. Comput Econ, 19.
Wagner, A., Ramentol, E., Schirra, F., & Michaeli, H. (2022). Short and long term forecating of electricity prices using embedding of calender information in neural networks. Journal of commodity markets, 18.
Wang, J., Hong, T., Li, X., & Wang, S. (2020). A multi-granularity heterogeneous combination approach to crude oil price forecasting. energy Economics, 28.
Xue, G., & Sriboonchitta, S. (2014). Co-movement of Prices of Energy and Agricultural Commodities in Biofuel Era: A Period-GARCH Copula Approach. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, 15.
Yang, Y., Guo, J., Sun, S., & Li, Y. (2021). Forecasting crude oil prices with a new hybrid approach and multi souce data. Engneering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 10.
Yousefi, A., Sianaki, O. A., & Sharafi, D. (2019). Long term electricity price forecast using machine learning techniques. 2019 IEEE PES innivative Smart Grid Technologies Asia (p. 5). IEEE.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
All papers should be submitted electronically. All submitted manuscripts must be original work that is not under submission at another journal or under consideration for publication in another form, such as a monograph or chapter of a book. Authors of submitted papers are obligated not to submit their paper for publication elsewhere until an editorial decision is rendered on their submission. Further, authors of accepted papers are prohibited from publishing the results in other publications that appear before the paper is published in the Journal unless they receive approval for doing so from the Editor-In-Chief.
IJISAE open access articles are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. This license lets the audience to give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made and if they remix, transform, or build upon the material, they must distribute contributions under the same license as the original.


