Black-Scholes and Monte-Carlo Simulation: Design of a Web-Based Stock Option Pricing Accuracy Comparison Application
Keywords:
Black-Scloles, Monte Carlo, Stock Options, SOCA, Simulation, Python, PrototypeAbstract
Options are legal contracts that give the right to buy/sell the underlying instrument at a specific price and time. For most types of Options, traditional calculation techniques are very difficult to use due to the complexity of the instruments. For this reason, the research intends to create a calculation system that can determine the price of European Type Stock Options using the Monte Carlo and Black-Scholes simulation methods. In this research, an object-oriented application called SOCA was developed using the prototype method, made website-based using the Python programming language. Based on the evaluation results of the user interface using 8 golden rules and 5 measurable human factors, it is known that the available information and features are in accordance with user needs, the application is also easy to use. The results of the evaluation using the black box show that all functional systems can run well. From the results of the evaluation and testing carried out, it can be concluded that the application has been made according to the needs of its users.
Downloads
References
W. W. Hidayat, Konsep Dasar Investasi Dan Pasar Modal. Ponorogo: Uwais Inspirasi Indonesia, 2019.
H. Rasjid, Nilai Perusahaan dan Asset Liabilitas (Studi Pada Industri Perbankan). Gorontalo: Syakir Media Press, 2022.
D. P. Welgi Okta irawan, Media Rosha, “Penentuan Harga Opsi Dengan Model Black-Scholes Menggunakan Metode Beda Hingga Center Time Center Space (CTCS),” Journal of Mathematics UNP, vol. 4, no. 1, 2019.
L. N. Naufal Alifio, Aldo Rizky Pardomuan, “STRATEGI INVESTASI OPSI ASIA DAN EROPA MENGGUNAKAN METODE STRANGLEDAN STRADLEDALAM MASA PANDEMI COVID-19,” SEMINARNASIONALSTATISTIKAIX - ISSN ONLINE. 2599-2546, 2020.
N. P. Kurniawati and S. W. Rizki, “Analisis Harga Opsi Beli Tipe Eropa dengan Metode Antithetic Variate dari Monte Carlo Analysis of Call Option Price European Type with Antithetic Variate Method of Monte Carlo,” pp. 63–70, 2021.
T. N. Habaib, S. Mariani, and R. Arifudin, “Penentuan Harga Opsi Asia Menggunakan Metode Simulasi Monte Carlo dengan Teknik Reduksi Variansi,” UNNES Journal of Mathematics, vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 28–37, 2018, [Online]. Available: http://journal.unnes.ac.id/sju/index.php/ujmUJM7
S. M. & R. A. Taufik Nur Habaib, “Penentuan Harga Opsi Asia Menggunakan Metode Simulasi Monte Carlo Dengan Teknik Reduksi Variansi,” UNNES Journal of Mathematics, vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 28–37, 2018.
S. Kim et al., “Reconstruction of the local volatility function using the Black–Scholes model,” J Comput Sci, vol. 51, p. 101341, Apr. 2021, doi: 10.1016/J.JOCS.2021.101341.
J. Seifoddini, “Stock Option Pricing by Augmented Monte-Carlo Simulation models,” Advances in Mathematical Finance and Applications, vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 1–22, 2021.
T. Guo, “Black-Scholes Process and Monte Carlo Simulation-Based Options Pricing,” in 2022 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Internet and Digital Economy (ICAID 2022) 2022 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Internet and Digital Economy (ICAID 2022), Atlantis Press, 2022, pp. 733–741.
Q. Jiang*, “Comparison of Black–Scholes Model and Monte-Carlo Simulation on Stock Price Modeling,” in Proceedings of the 2019 International Conference on Economic Management and Cultural Industry (ICEMCI 2019), Paris, France: Atlantis Press, 2019. doi: 10.2991/aebmr.k.191217.025.
I. Meding and V. Zandhoff Westerlund, “Pricing European Options with the Black-Scholes and Monte Carlo Methods: a Comparative Study”.
W. Aliman, “Perancangan perangkat lunak untuk menggambar diagram berbasis android,” Syntax Literate; Jurnal Ilmiah Indonesia, vol. 6, no. 6, pp. 3091–3098, 2021.
T. Kumar, “Agile Based Software Development Model : Benefits & Challenges,” International Journal of New Innovations in Engineering and Technology, vol. 2, no. 4, pp. 8–15, 2015.
J. Enterprise, Python untuk Programmer Pemula. Elex media komputindo, 2019.
I. M. S. & N. H. Dhega Febiharsa, “UJI FUNGSIONALITAS (BLACKBOX TESTING) SISTEM INFORMASI LEMBAGA SERTIFIKASI PROFESI (SILSP) BATIK DENGAN APPPERFECT WEB TEST DAN UJI PENGGUNA,” Journal of Information Education, pp. 117–126, 2018.
S. Ahmed, A. Ahmed, and N. U. Eisty, “Automatic Transformation of Natural to Unified Modeling Language: A Systematic Review,” in 2022 IEEE/ACIS 20th International Conference on Software Engineering Research, Management and Applications (SERA), IEEE, 2022, pp. 112–119.
H. & H. Fahmi, “Aplikasi Pembelajaran Unified Modeling Language Berbasis Computer Assisted Instruction,” Jurnal Sistem Informasi, vol. 2, no. 2, pp. 21–29, 2018.
A. Gupta, T. S. Priya, and P. V. Ramani, “Android application prototype for construction logistics tracking,” Innovative Infrastructure Solutions, vol. 7, no. 6, p. 360, 2022.
J. Enterprise, Python Untuk Programmer Pemula. Jakarta: PT. Elex Media Komputindo, 2019.
Kshirsagar, P. R., Reddy, D. H., Dhingra, M., Dhabliya, D., & Gupta, A. (2022b). Detection of Liver Disease Using Machine Learning Approach. 2022 5th International Conference on Contemporary Computing and Informatics (IC3I), 1824–1829. IEEE.
Kshirsagar, P. R., Reddy, D. H., Dhingra, M., Dhabliya, D., & Gupta, A. (2022a). A Review on Comparative study of 4G, 5G and 6G Networks. 2022 5th International Conference on Contemporary Computing and Informatics (IC3I), 1830–1833. IEEE.
Krishna, N. ., R., A. ., John, N. M. ., & Kurian, S. M. . (2023). Training and Classification of PCA with LRM model for Diabetes Prediction . International Journal on Recent and Innovation Trends in Computing and Communication, 11(4s), 08–15. https://doi.org/10.17762/ijritcc.v11i4s.6302
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
All papers should be submitted electronically. All submitted manuscripts must be original work that is not under submission at another journal or under consideration for publication in another form, such as a monograph or chapter of a book. Authors of submitted papers are obligated not to submit their paper for publication elsewhere until an editorial decision is rendered on their submission. Further, authors of accepted papers are prohibited from publishing the results in other publications that appear before the paper is published in the Journal unless they receive approval for doing so from the Editor-In-Chief.
IJISAE open access articles are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. This license lets the audience to give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made and if they remix, transform, or build upon the material, they must distribute contributions under the same license as the original.